제1장 서론 ·························································································································· 1 제1절 연구 배경 및 목적 ····················································································· 1 제2절 연구의 구성 ···································································································· 4 제2장 대졸자의 경제활동 상태 변화 분석 ····················································· 5 제1절 대졸자의 경제활동 상태 변화 ····························································· 5 제2절 대졸자 취업 분포 추이 ········································································ 14 제3장 대졸자의 취업 현황: 2017년 졸업자를 중심으로 ····················· 21 제1절 2018년 대졸자직업이동경로조사상 취업 현황 ······················ 21 제2절 2018년 대졸자직업이동경로조사상 산업별 전공 분포 현황 ··········28 제3절 2018년 대졸자직업이동경로조사상 직업 분포 현황 ·········· 46 제4절 2018년 대졸자직업이동경로조사상 직업별 전공 분포 현황 ········· 49 제5절 2018년 대졸자직업이동경로조사상 산업·직업 분포 현황 ·········· 59 제4장 대졸자 취업 현황과 정책 지원 방향 ················································ 77 제1절 Focus Group Interview 목적과 대상 ······································ 77 제2절 전문대 취업 현황 ····················································································· 80 제3절 일반대 취업 현황 ····················································································· 87 제4절 취업지원센터 담당자 면담 결과 ····················································· 96 제5절 요약 및 함의 ···························································································· 104 제5장 대졸자 신규 진입 전망 ··········································································· 108 제1절 대졸자 신규 공급 현황 및 전망 ·················································· 108 제2절 대졸자 취업자 전망 ············································································· 113 제6장 결론 ···················································································································· 125 참고 문헌 ······················································································································· 178

청년층의 학력 상승은 거시적 차원에서 국가적 인적 자본의 상승으로 좋은 경쟁력으로 작 용할 수 있다. 미시적 차원에도 개인의 인적 자본 상승은 좋은 경쟁력이 될 수 있다. 그러 나 이 경쟁력은 노동시장에서 좋은 성과를 가져올 때 의미가 있다. 인적 자본에 투자하는 궁극적인 목적은 노동시장에서 좋은 성과를 얻기 위함일 것이다. 거 시적 관점에서 대학 졸업 후 청년층의 낮은 취업률은 투자 대비 낮은 성과이고 미시적 관 점에서도 인적 자본 투자 목적 대비 미취업 혹은 하향 취업은 투자 수익률이 낮아 손실을 준다. 대졸 청년층의 낮은 취업률은 개인의 문제를 넘어서 사회적 손실을 야기하고 있다. 대졸 청년 고용 문제를 풀려면, 대학 졸업 후 노동시장의 진입과 이행에 대한 분석이 필요할 것 이다. 특히 노동시장 신규진입 상황에 따라 향후 노동시장 성과에 나타나는 결과는 아주 다르다는 것을 많은 선행 연구를 통해서 확인할 수 있었다. 이에 노동시장 신규진입 상황 을 정확하게 파악하는 과정이 필요하다고 본다. 이 과정을 통해 대졸자의 노동시장 신규진 입이 어떠한 산업과 어떠한 직업으로 진출하는지 확인 할 수 있을 것이다. 본 연구는 대졸자의 노동시장 신규진입 현황을 살펴보고 향후 10년간의 대졸자의 노동시장 신규진입 전망하고 이를 통해 청년 대졸자의 수요 변화를 예측하고자 한다.