한국고용정보원

제1장 서 론 ··························································································· 1

제2장 고령화 현황 ·················································································4
제1절 인구구조 현황 ········································································· 4
제2절 노동시장 고령화 현상····························································· 9
제3절 베이비붐 세대가 고령화에 미치는 영향 ································· 21

제3장 산업별 고령화 분석 ····································································23
제1절 산업별 고령화 현황······························································· 23
제2절 산업별 고령화 요인 ····························································· 44

제4장 산업별 고용구조 변화 분석 ························································59
제1절 산업별 고용 규모 변화 ·························································· 59
제2절 산업별 구인 수요 변화 ·························································· 66
제3절 중장기 인력수급 전망 결과 참고 ··········································· 71

제5장 요약 및 결론 ··············································································73

참고 문헌 ·····························································································78
부표 ··································································································· 79

본 연구는 인구구조 변화에 따른 노동 수요 공급 변화에 대비하여 임금근로자의 산업별 고령화 현황과 산업구조 변화를 파악하고 향후 예상되는 고령화에 따른 인력부족 부문에 대한 정보를 제공하고자 수행되었다. 먼저 우리나라 고령화 현황을 연령대별 경제활동인구 변화로 살펴본 후, 산업별 연령분포를 비교하고 고령화 속도와 고령화지수를 이용하여 고령화 변화 추이와 수준을 구분해 보았다. 이러한 산업별 고령화 현상에 대해 청년층 신규 인력 진입 감소, 고령 인력 공급 증가, 기존 인력의 고용유지 정도에 따른 고령 비중 증가 등의 요인으로 나누어 분석하였다. 마지막으로 산업별 상대적 고용 규모 비교 및 구인 수요 분석을 통해 우리나라의 고용구조 변화와 추이를 간략히 살펴본 후 이들 분석을 종합하여 산업별 인력 부족 부문을 예측하였다.